Viral Potential Predictor
Details
- External ID
- 46407198
- Source
- HN
- Company
- —
- Product
- Viral Potential Predictor
- Website domain
- vercel.app
- Launched
- Dec. 28, 2025
- Cohort
- —
- Upvotes
- 34
- Upvotes percentile
- 0.7471374045801527
- Tags
- —
- Fetched at
- Sept. 7, 2026, 9:25 p.m.
- Updated at
- Sept. 7, 2026, 9:25 p.m.
Description
Hey HN,We analyzed 4,010,957 Hacker News submissions to find what actually makes posts perform well.Key findings: - 93.2% of posts never hit 50 points - Top 1% starts at 270 points - Certain keywords boost engagement by 1000%+Built a free tool that scores your launch title and predicts viral potential: [link]The entire 4M post dataset is available as a single 700MB .mv2 file if you want to run your own analysis.
Enrichment
- Theme
- Hacker News clients, datasets, and tools
- Vertical
- Media & entertainment
- Function
- Analytics & BI
- Audience
- B2B
- AI stance
- AI feature
- Project type
- Commercial product
- Normalized one-liner
- predict viral potential of content
- Manually corrected
- False
Could you build this?
Yes The tool computes simple statistical heuristic scores or passes launch titles to an LLM/linear regression model trained on an existing Hacker News dataset.
Discussion
17 comments analyzed.
Competitors mentioned: SQLite, Parquet, Hugging Face datasets
Concerns raised: Statistical methodology flawed (ignores right-skew, misinterprets correlation values, conflates day/hour variables), Surface features don't meaningfully predict virality according to own research, No transparent attribution; anonymous 'Memvid Research Team', Mv2 file format larger than source Parquet (847 MB vs 426 MB), QR code storage mechanism inefficient vs existing solutions
Competitors
Other products that read as similar to this one — 101 launches clear the similarity bar, closest 8 shown.
Attention rank: #32 of 102 (itself plus its competitors, highest first — normalized so YC and Product Hunt are compared fairly).
Launched 53 days after the earliest competitor.
- I built a tool that helps predict HN front page success · hn · 2026-05-03 · 26 upvotes · similarity 0.69
- I analyzed 297k HN posts · hn · 2025-12-30 · 5 upvotes · similarity 0.58
- Show HN submissions have tripled since 2023 · hn · 2026-01-11 · 18 upvotes · similarity 0.55
- 20 years of Hacker News discussions, clustered and visualized · hn · 2026-03-22 · 7 upvotes · similarity 0.50
- Hacker Smacker · hn · 2026-02-24 · 148 upvotes · similarity 0.49
- One RSS Feed for the Most Popular HN Bloggers (2025 Rankings) · hn · 2026-01-13 · 8 upvotes · similarity 0.46
- Credible brings credibility scores directly on Hacker News · hn · 2025-12-19 · 12 upvotes · similarity 0.46
- How much of Hacker News is about AI? · hn · 2026-08-26 · 74 upvotes · similarity 0.45
Other launches for this product
- No other launches for this product.
Same idea, different domain
Nobody's really built a analytics & bi tool for Legal yet.