Viral Potential Predictor
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Hey HN,We analyzed 4,010,957 Hacker News submissions to find what actually makes posts perform well.Key findings: - 93.2% of posts never hit 50 points - Top 1% starts at 270 points - Certain keywords boost engagement by 1000%+Built a free tool that scores your launch title and predicts viral potential: [link]The entire 4M post dataset is available as a single 700MB .mv2 file if you want to run your own analysis.
HN · launched Dec 28, 2025 · 34 upvotes (top 25%) · 2 views
Niche: specialized analytics platforms · 141 launches, 4 in the last 7 days ▼ -60% · Explore this niche →
Category and tags
- Marketing
- Analytics & BI
- B2C
- AI feature
- Commercial product
Visit website ↗ Source listing ↗
More like this: all 141 launches in specialized analytics platforms →
Could you build this?
Yes The tool computes simple statistical heuristic scores or passes launch titles to an LLM/linear regression model trained on an existing Hacker News dataset.
Discussion
17 comments analyzed.
Competitors mentioned: SQLite, Parquet, Hugging Face datasets
Concerns raised: Statistical methodology flawed (ignores right-skew, misinterprets correlation values, conflates day/hour variables), Surface features don't meaningfully predict virality according to own research, No transparent attribution; anonymous 'Memvid Research Team', Mv2 file format larger than source Parquet (847 MB vs 426 MB), QR code storage mechanism inefficient vs existing solutions
Competitors
Other products that read as similar to this one : 173 launches clear the similarity bar, closest 8 shown.
Attention rank: #60 of 174 (itself plus its competitors, highest first, normalized so YC and Product Hunt are compared fairly).
Launched 53 days after the earliest competitor.
- I built a tool that helps predict HN front page success · hn · 2026-05-03 · 26 upvotes · similarity 0.69
- I analyzed 297k HN posts · hn · 2025-12-30 · 5 upvotes · similarity 0.58
- Show HN submissions have tripled since 2023 · hn · 2026-01-11 · 18 upvotes · similarity 0.55
- 20 years of Hacker News discussions, clustered and visualized · hn · 2026-03-22 · 7 upvotes · similarity 0.50
- Hacker News but for comments posted on HN · hn · 2026-11-02 · 19 upvotes · similarity 0.49
- Hacker Smacker · hn · 2026-02-24 · 148 upvotes · similarity 0.49
- Wikihack · hn · 2026-11-02 · 339 upvotes · similarity 0.47
- hackertube · ph · 2026-11-09 · 1 upvotes · similarity 0.46
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