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Mondael.com

Institutional Intelligence for Prediction Markets

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This project grew out of frustration of trying to find out the odds of a Hantavirus pandemic. When I went to search for it, I had to wade through sports gambling, and novelty markets that distracted me from just getting a really useful number with context to know if it was accurate.To solve this, my friend and I made mondael.com, which we're using to analyze, and visualize interesting prediction markets in the realm of: Geopolitics, Elections, Macro, Finance, Energy, and Science & Technology.The basic belief is that prediction markets can often move faster than news, but only if the data is filtered, organized, and presented in a way that separates real signal from noise. The site is free and open for all to explore. Once we had the core database working, we started adding tools around it:- Live Brier scoring: track how accurate markets are across desks, tags, and topics.- Cross-asset correlations: compare prediction markets with real-world assets like stocks, FX, commodities, and ETFs, including lead/lag analysis.- Market structure analysis: use bubble charts to compare liquidity, volume, order-book depth, 5pp depth, spreads, and related measures.- Alerts: surface events like volume bumps, leader changes, price spikes, and other unusual market activity.Any feedback is appreciated and will be considered.

HN · launched Jul 7, 2026 · 7 upvotes (top 60%) · 0 views

Niche: stock and market analysis software · 355 launches, 42 in the last 7 days ▲ +11% · Explore this niche →

Category and tags

  • Fintech
  • Analytics & BI
  • B2B
  • AI feature
  • Commercial product

Visit website ↗ Source listing ↗

Could you build this?

Yes Aggregating public prediction market data (Polymarket, Metaculus, Manifold) with filtering and an LLM-summarized dashboard is standard full-stack API integration and UI work.

Discussion

No comments on this launch.

Competitors

Other products that read as similar to this one : 445 launches clear the similarity bar, closest 8 shown.

Attention rank: #178 of 446 (itself plus its competitors, highest first, normalized so YC and Product Hunt are compared fairly).

Launched 251 days after the earliest competitor.

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