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Mondael.com

Institutional Intelligence for Prediction Markets

Details

External ID
48817234
Source
HN
Company
—
Product
Mondael.com
Website domain
mondael.com
Launched
July 7, 2026
Cohort
—
Upvotes
7
Upvotes percentile
0.3972520908004779
Tags
—
Fetched at
Sept. 7, 2026, 9:26 p.m.
Updated at
Sept. 7, 2026, 9:26 p.m.

Description

This project grew out of frustration of trying to find out the odds of a Hantavirus pandemic. When I went to search for it, I had to wade through sports gambling, and novelty markets that distracted me from just getting a really useful number with context to know if it was accurate.To solve this, my friend and I made mondael.com, which we're using to analyze, and visualize interesting prediction markets in the realm of: Geopolitics, Elections, Macro, Finance, Energy, and Science & Technology.The basic belief is that prediction markets can often move faster than news, but only if the data is filtered, organized, and presented in a way that separates real signal from noise. The site is free and open for all to explore. Once we had the core database working, we started adding tools around it:- Live Brier scoring: track how accurate markets are across desks, tags, and topics.- Cross-asset correlations: compare prediction markets with real-world assets like stocks, FX, commodities, and ETFs, including lead/lag analysis.- Market structure analysis: use bubble charts to compare liquidity, volume, order-book depth, 5pp depth, spreads, and related measures.- Alerts: surface events like volume bumps, leader changes, price spikes, and other unusual market activity.Any feedback is appreciated and will be considered.

Enrichment

Theme
financial intelligence and trading tools
Vertical
Fintech
Function
Analytics & BI
Audience
B2B
AI stance
AI feature
Project type
Commercial product
Normalized one-liner
intelligence platform for prediction markets
Manually corrected
False

Could you build this?

Yes Aggregating public prediction market data (Polymarket, Metaculus, Manifold) with filtering and an LLM-summarized dashboard is standard full-stack API integration and UI work.

Discussion

No comments on this launch.

Competitors

Other products that read as similar to this one — 178 launches clear the similarity bar, closest 8 shown.

Attention rank: #85 of 179 (itself plus its competitors, highest first — normalized so YC and Product Hunt are compared fairly).

Launched 251 days after the earliest competitor.

Other launches for this product

Same idea, different domain

Nobody's really built a analytics & bi tool for Legal yet.