Mondael.com
Institutional Intelligence for Prediction Markets
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This project grew out of frustration of trying to find out the odds of a Hantavirus pandemic. When I went to search for it, I had to wade through sports gambling, and novelty markets that distracted me from just getting a really useful number with context to know if it was accurate.To solve this, my friend and I made mondael.com, which we're using to analyze, and visualize interesting prediction markets in the realm of: Geopolitics, Elections, Macro, Finance, Energy, and Science & Technology.The basic belief is that prediction markets can often move faster than news, but only if the data is filtered, organized, and presented in a way that separates real signal from noise. The site is free and open for all to explore. Once we had the core database working, we started adding tools around it:- Live Brier scoring: track how accurate markets are across desks, tags, and topics.- Cross-asset correlations: compare prediction markets with real-world assets like stocks, FX, commodities, and ETFs, including lead/lag analysis.- Market structure analysis: use bubble charts to compare liquidity, volume, order-book depth, 5pp depth, spreads, and related measures.- Alerts: surface events like volume bumps, leader changes, price spikes, and other unusual market activity.Any feedback is appreciated and will be considered.
HN · launched Jul 7, 2026 · 7 upvotes (top 60%) · 0 views
Niche: stock and market analysis software · 355 launches, 42 in the last 7 days ▲ +11% · Explore this niche →
Category and tags
- Fintech
- Analytics & BI
- B2B
- AI feature
- Commercial product
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More like this: all 355 launches in stock and market analysis software →
Could you build this?
Yes Aggregating public prediction market data (Polymarket, Metaculus, Manifold) with filtering and an LLM-summarized dashboard is standard full-stack API integration and UI work.
Discussion
No comments on this launch.
Competitors
Other products that read as similar to this one : 445 launches clear the similarity bar, closest 8 shown.
Attention rank: #178 of 446 (itself plus its competitors, highest first, normalized so YC and Product Hunt are compared fairly).
Launched 251 days after the earliest competitor.
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- ka-baddi.com · ph · 2026-10-09 · 1 upvotes · similarity 0.49
- Dome - A unified API for prediction markets · yc · 2025-10-29 · 68 upvotes · similarity 0.49
- Did prediction markets do any predicting this midterms? · hn · 2026-11-07 · 35 upvotes · similarity 0.49
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