Nicheloom

Market intelligence for builders — see what's gaining traction before it's crowded.

Claumon

forecasting Claude Code usage limits with a Gamma process

Details

External ID
48488753
Source
HN
Company
—
Product
Claumon
Website domain
github.com
Launched
June 11, 2026
Cohort
—
Upvotes
7
Upvotes percentile
0.42008196721311475
Tags
—
Fetched at
Sept. 7, 2026, 9:26 p.m.
Updated at
Sept. 7, 2026, 9:26 p.m.

Description

Anthropic's usage analytics dashboard is only available to Team and Enterprise org admins. On a Pro or Max plan all you get is /usage and the claude.ai usage page, which show where you stand right now but not where you're heading. I looked at various open-source projects but none quite matched what I had in mind: an all-round control panel for Claude Code that's also a single binary, with no dependencies and no install steps.The other thing I cared about was forecasting the usage limits. Existing tools do burn-rate projections (ccusage) or percentile heuristics (Claude-Code-Usage-Monitor), which felt too simplistic for what I wanted - I was after a calibrated statistical model with proper credible intervals.I built claumon over the last few months in Go. It runs on Linux, macOS and Windows, with a Homebrew install. It has the usual consumption gauges, cost breakdowns and conversation history, plus two tabs for memory management: after a while I had memories scattered across several projects and wanted to see them in one place and prune the stale ones.In the last few weeks I focused on the forecast model. I started from an empirical-Bayes linear regression with Brownian noise, but ended up with a Gamma process for the path noise: token usage can't decrease over time, so Brownian motion, however mathematically convenient, was the wrong choice. The intervals are calibrated against your own recorded history, and there's tooling that scores the forecasts out-of-sample, so the coverage is checked rather than assumed.I wrote a formal, versioned spec for the model, and the implementation follows it: https://github.com/fabioconcina/claumon/blob/main/internal/f...Everything runs locally - nothing leaves your machine. It's open source, MIT. I'd welcome feedback on the model especially.

Enrichment

Theme
utilities for Claude and Claude Code
Vertical
Horizontal
Function
Analytics & BI
Audience
Developer
AI stance
AI-native
Project type
Hobby / open-source project
Normalized one-liner
forecast api usage limits
Manually corrected
False

Could you build this?

Yes The tool parses local Claude Code usage logs or session statistics and applies standard statistical fitting (Gamma process / stochastic rate estimation) in Python to forecast quota exhaustion.

Discussion

No comments on this launch.

Competitors

Other products that read as similar to this one — 113 launches clear the similarity bar, closest 8 shown.

Attention rank: #69 of 114 (itself plus its competitors, highest first — normalized so YC and Product Hunt are compared fairly).

Launched 208 days after the earliest competitor.

Other launches for this product

Same idea, different domain

Nobody's really built a analytics & bi tool for Legal yet.